Wie man die Auswirkungen eines Gasembargos berechnen könnte

Abstract In this essay, I outline a method to compute the economic impact of sudden stop natural gas imports from Russia. First, estimate reduction in short-run supply for economy and industry sector. Second, use model simulations analyse effect import on sectors using whole economy. The should take into account limited substitution possibilities (chemical industry) value chain linkages these with all other recent analysis by Bachmann et al. (2022) does not satisfy two methodological conditions results be interpreted accordingly.